Purpose: This document compares observations recorded in January 2017 against documented events from 2017-2025.
Source: "The New Nationalism" published in Rebelle Society on January 9, 2017 (permanently archived, uneditable by author)
Context: Written 11 days before Trump's inauguration, examining emerging patterns across geopolitical, economic, cultural, and informational domains
Methodology: Major patterns identified in the original text are compared against documented historical events. This is not retrospective claiming—predictions were published and timestamped before events occurred.
This chart presents major patterns from the 2017 piece alongside documented outcomes. Rather than claiming specific accuracy percentages, it demonstrates observable alignment between what was written and what subsequently occurred.
Readers are invited to access the original archived publication and conduct their own independent assessment. The examples below represent key patterns that manifested clearly across the evaluated timeframe.
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"This is the era of global realignment as nations become profoundly more unbounded"
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→ Nationalist movements surged globally: Trump elected (US), Brexit implemented (UK 2016-2020), Orbán consolidated power (Hungary), Bolsonaro elected (Brazil 2018), Modi strengthened position (India), Le Pen gained ground (France), AfD became major force (Germany), nationalist parties rose across Europe
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"War is imminent... don't be deceived by the ease of speech and their willingness to reach beyond differences"
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→ Despite diplomatic efforts and peace rhetoric: Russia-Ukraine war erupted (2022-present), Israel-Gaza escalation (2023-present), Armenia-Azerbaijan conflicts (2020, 2023), Syria proxy war continued, Yemen civil war intensified
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"The star of the Far East with its Great Wall will be challenged on its national will"
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→ US-China confrontation intensified: trade war (2018-2020), Hong Kong protests/crackdown (2019-2020), Uyghur genocide recognition, Taiwan tensions escalated, South China Sea conflicts, tech/semiconductor restrictions, TikTok bans, Huawei sanctions
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"Constellations in the Middle will become civil by summer, as diplomats devise different maps... By late autumn, however, they will act as if maps never existed"
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→ Abraham Accords achieved brief diplomatic success (UAE-Israel Aug 2020, Bahrain Sept 2020), then: Hamas-Israel war (Oct 2023), Gaza destruction, regional escalation, Iran-Israel direct strikes (2024), Yemen Houthis attacking shipping. Pattern of diplomatic efforts followed by collapse manifested clearly
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"Confrontation will occur rather through surrogates and allies even as leaders advise diplomacy"
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→ Proxy war structures became standard: Ukraine (NATO weapons vs. Russian forces), Syria (US/Turkey/Russia/Iran proxies), Yemen (Saudi/UAE vs. Iran-backed Houthis), Libya (multiple proxy forces), sub-Saharan African coups with Russian Wagner involvement
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"A rise in markets will produce a surplus in capital and an excess of conceit, which will be used to fund unprecedented arms"
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→ Stock market boom 2017-2021 (Dow from 19,732 to peak 36,952) preceded record global military spending: $2.44 trillion (2023), US defense budgets increased dramatically, China military expansion, European rearmament post-Ukraine, unprecedented arms procurement globally
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"S.A.L.T. talks will stall even as nations call for moderation all while increasing their capacity"
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→ Arms control architecture collapsed: New START treaty extension uncertain (expires Feb 2026), Russia suspended participation (2023), Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty ended (2019), Open Skies Treaty terminated (2020), while nations publicly claimed to seek restraint
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"This farce will furnish the furnace with heat that will eventually release nuclear strikes. These strikes will be seen in the acceleration of nuclear armament"
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→ Nuclear weapons acceleration and rhetoric escalated: Russia tactical nuclear threats in Ukraine, North Korea record missile testing (2022), Iran uranium enrichment advancing, China expanding arsenal (estimated 500+ warheads by 2030), US modernization programs, hypersonic weapons race, actual nuclear strikes language entering mainstream discourse
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"The fever of the 50's and 60's will reheat until the cold war re-speaks Russia's hatred of our nation"
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→ Russia-US relations reached coldest point since Cold War: Putin's increasingly hostile rhetoric toward US/West, Russian state TV anti-American propaganda, cyber attacks, election interference allegations, Navalny poisoning, diplomatic expulsions, proxy confrontation in Ukraine
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"Rise in markets will produce surplus in capital and excess of conceit"
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→ Market boom and speculation: Stock market surge 2017-2021, tech bubble valuations, crypto mania (Bitcoin from $1,000 to $69,000), SPACs proliferation, meme stocks, "can't lose" mentality pervasive, excess speculation widespread before 2022 correction
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"Increase in food prices in certain places as citizens assume military fierceness"
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→ Global food crisis 2021-2023: wheat prices surged 80%+ (Ukraine war impact), UN Food Price Index hit record highs (2022), fertilizer shortages, cooking oil crisis, protests over food prices globally, 345+ million facing acute food insecurity (2023)
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"Destroying families, fields, food and farms"
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→ Agricultural devastation from conflicts: Ukraine (30% agricultural land affected by war, millions displaced), Syria (continued destruction), Yemen (worst humanitarian crisis), Gaza (infrastructure devastated 2023-24), global climate + conflict impacts on farming
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"By an artificial necessity each will be conscripted"
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→ Mobilization and militarization normalized: Russia full mobilization (2022), Ukraine national conscription, increased defense spending framed as "necessary" across Europe and US, mandatory service debates in multiple European nations, rearmament accepted as inevitable
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"Combined with a flourish in fabricated news"
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→ "Fake news" became defining term of Trump era and beyond: Facebook Cambridge Analytica scandal (2018), deepfakes emerged, AI-generated misinformation explosion, Russian/Chinese disinformation campaigns documented, COVID misinformation crisis, 2020/2024 election fraud claims widespread, information integrity became major concern
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"Claims formerly confined to Saturday Night Live will frame arguments and sway many"
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→ Comedy and satire became primary political discourse: SNL Trump sketches drove news cycles, late-night comedy as primary news source for demographics, Trevor Noah/John Oliver as major political voices, meme culture replaced substantive debate, "Let's Go Brandon" from comedy sketch to political movement
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"Leaders who oppose this road will be dethroned. They will hold their positions but lose their influence, being deemed dangerous stumps"
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→ Moderate/anti-nationalist leaders systematically marginalized: Merkel stepped down (2021), Macron severely weakened, Biden age/fitness questions dominated discourse, Liz Cheney removed from leadership for opposing Trump, traditional conservatives sidelined, moderates across democracies lost influence while maintaining titles—lame-duck phenomenon accelerated
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"The arts will also be used to erode their authority, satire especially"
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→ Satire became political weapon: Leaders mocked relentlessly through memes, viral videos, satirical content weaponized for political purposes, authority figures subjected to constant ridicule via social media, traditional respect for office eroded through comedic undermining
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"The result will shift some States and shake others along with their surrogates, redeeming the failure of the European Union"
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→ Brexit completed (2020), EU cohesion tested by Hungary/Poland conflicts and refugee crises, but Ukraine war temporarily unified EU through shared external threat, expanded defense cooperation, reinforced NATO—complex pattern of stress followed by reactive cohesion
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"And the nascent North American nexus"
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→ USMCA replaced NAFTA (2020), but North American integration stalled under "America First" policies, US-Mexico-Canada relations strained then partially restored, regional cooperation weakened rather than strengthened during key period
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"America's eminence will also be challenged, threatening thus the world's balance"
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→ US global position weakened measurably: Afghanistan withdrawal debacle (2021) devastated credibility, China's rise challenged US hegemony economically and militarily, dollar weaponization created concerns, BRICS expansion (now includes Saudi, Iran, Egypt, UAE, Ethiopia), Global South increasingly non-aligned, clear shift toward multipolarity
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"The stained glass (Church) with its stained past... will continue to be exploited by those it deems anointed, but who are merely opportunists instead"
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→ Religious exploitation became explicit: Trump's overwhelming evangelical support (81% white evangelicals 2016, 76% 2020) despite lifestyle contradictions; Paula White as White House spiritual advisor; prosperity gospel preachers (Copeland, Dollar, Osteen) thrived; multiple "prophets" falsely claimed Trump 2020 victory then refused to repent; QAnon infiltration of evangelical churches; January 6 attack featured Christian nationalist imagery prominently
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"Others are political stags"
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→ Christian nationalism became explicit political strategy: Pence, Cruz, Rubio, Cotton, DeSantis using religious language primarily for political mobilization; "Seven Mountains Mandate" influence grew; Speaker Johnson's explicit Christian nationalist rhetoric (2023-present); religious right operating as political force prioritizing power over spiritual witness
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"The stained glass with its stained past"
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→ Church scandals continued with new revelations: Catholic abuse scandals globally, Southern Baptist abuse crisis exposed (2022) with 700+ pastors/officials accused, Ravi Zacharias posthumous sexual abuse revelations (2020-2021), Hillsong collapse (2022), Mars Hill/Mark Driscoll scandals; church attendance decline accelerated: "nones" (religiously unaffiliated) grew to 28% in US (2023)
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This chart compares observations from "The New Nationalism" (published January 9, 2017 on Rebelle Society) against documented events from 2017-2025.
Rather than claiming specific accuracy percentages, this document demonstrates major patterns that manifested observably. Readers can verify each claim independently against historical records.
Assessment approach: Patterns either manifested clearly, manifested partially, remained ambiguous, or did not occur. The examples presented here represent patterns that manifested clearly and documentably across the evaluated timeframe.
Important notes:
The 2017 piece diagnosed systems breaking down.
The New Being (July 2025) examines what emerges after the breaking—and how to prepare consciousness for it.
The same observational capacity that produced the 2017 analysis operates throughout The New Being, applied to questions the author has engaged for 35 years:
This verification chart provides one form of evidence for assessing whether observations in The New Being merit serious consideration. The 2017 track record—addressing topics the author doesn't study—demonstrates that this observational mode sometimes yields verifiable insights beyond conscious knowledge.
Readers can assess the 2017 evidence independently, then decide whether transformation observations now warrant attention.